2015 Season results for Albuquerque Academy (GV,5-5A)

17   3   2
Rank in
State, Class, District
1268     -36
Strength     Momentum
1268   66.4(2)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  13W   5L   4T 
District  5W   1L   0T 
Expected  13:   7+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/24/15 at West Mesa 0.000889W 2- 0 Expected (-2)1190 84%
08/26/15 at Rio Rancho !! 0.0001444W 2- 0 Better (+4)1468 28%
08/29/15 Sandia 0.0001340T 1- 1 Better (0)1292 44%
09/02/15 Eldorado 0.0011533L 1- 3 Expected (0)1289 24%
09/04/15 at Cibola 0.0021546L 1- 2 Expected (+2)1369 20%
09/10/15 Carlsbad 0.0051258W 3- 2 Expected (+1)1301 54%
09/11/15 Aztec ?? 0.0051155L 0- 2 Worse (-3)1100 66%
09/12/15 Hope Christian ! 0.0071392W 4- 2 Better (+3)1419 38%
09/15/15 at Los Alamos 0.0101278W 2- 0 Better (+2)1385 46%
09/19/15 Rio Rancho 0.0231444T 2- 2 Better (+2)1345 33%
09/25/15 at Albuquerque 0.0541514T 0- 0 Better (+3)1403 22%
09/29/15 Aztec 0.0911155W 1- 0 Expected (0)1250 66%
10/03/15 Valley 0.1281049W 3- 0 Expected (+1)1298 75%
10/06/15 Grants 0.026561W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1423 98%
10/08/15 at St. Pius 0.2331289L 1- 3 Expected (-2)1190 45%
10/13/15 at Moriarty 0.027458W 10- 0 Expected (+2)1395 98%
10/15/15 at Grants 0.031561W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1446 97%
10/17/15 at Farmington ? 0.4981220L 1- 2 Worse (-1)1206 53%
10/22/15 Moriarty 0.188458W 8- 0 Expected (0)1261 98%
10/23/15 St. Pius 0.6721289W 4- 2 Expected (+2)1367 50%
11/05/15 * Valencia 0.9341086W 2- 1 Expected (-1)1239 70%
11/06/15 * St. Pius 0.9891289T 1- 1 Better (0)1290 47%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque Academy actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1268, while
Albuquerque Academy's "weighted playing strength" is 1277
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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