17 3 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1268 -36 Strength Momentum |
1268 66.4(2) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at West Mesa | 0.000 | 889 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1190 | 84% | |
08/26/15 | at Rio Rancho !! | 0.000 | 1444 | W 2- 0 | Better (+4) | 1468 | 28% | |
08/29/15 | Sandia | 0.000 | 1340 | T 1- 1 | Better (0) | 1292 | 44% | |
09/02/15 | Eldorado | 0.001 | 1533 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 1289 | 24% | |
09/04/15 | at Cibola | 0.002 | 1546 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1369 | 20% | |
09/10/15 | Carlsbad | 0.005 | 1258 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1301 | 54% | |
09/11/15 | Aztec ?? | 0.005 | 1155 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1100 | 66% | |
09/12/15 | Hope Christian ! | 0.007 | 1392 | W 4- 2 | Better (+3) | 1419 | 38% | |
09/15/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.010 | 1278 | W 2- 0 | Better (+2) | 1385 | 46% | |
09/19/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.023 | 1444 | T 2- 2 | Better (+2) | 1345 | 33% | |
09/25/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.054 | 1514 | T 0- 0 | Better (+3) | 1403 | 22% | |
09/29/15 | Aztec | 0.091 | 1155 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1250 | 66% | |
10/03/15 | Valley | 0.128 | 1049 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1298 | 75% | |
10/06/15 | Grants | 0.026 | 561 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1423 | 98% | |
10/08/15 | at St. Pius | 0.233 | 1289 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1190 | 45% | |
10/13/15 | at Moriarty | 0.027 | 458 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1395 | 98% | |
10/15/15 | at Grants | 0.031 | 561 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1446 | 97% | |
10/17/15 | at Farmington ? | 0.498 | 1220 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1206 | 53% | |
10/22/15 | Moriarty | 0.188 | 458 | W 8- 0 | Expected (0) | 1261 | 98% | |
10/23/15 | St. Pius | 0.672 | 1289 | W 4- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1367 | 50% | |
11/05/15 | * Valencia | 0.934 | 1086 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1239 | 70% | |
11/06/15 | * St. Pius | 0.989 | 1289 | T 1- 1 | Better (0) | 1290 | 47% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque Academy actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1268, while
Albuquerque Academy's "weighted playing strength" is 1277
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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